Sensitivity analysis demonstrating optimal left vs right cut-point to maximize prognostic differences based on side in metastatic colorectal cancer. Sub-caption: Numbers in figure represent the hazard ratio followed by the 95% confidence interval within square brackets. The hazard ratio estimate occurs at the location used to divide left from right in each sensitivity analysis. For example, if the division between right and left occurs between the hepatic flexure and transverse colon, the hazard ratio estimate will be placed on the graph half way between the hepatic flexure and transverse colon (ie. 1.66).
ARTICLE ABSTRACT
Purpose: Colorectal cancers are classified as right/left-sided based on whether they occur before/after the splenic flexure, with established differences in molecular subtypes and outcomes. However, it is unclear if this division is optimal and whether precise tumor location provides further information.Experimental Design: In 1,876 patients with colorectal cancer, we compared mutation prevalence and overall survival (OS) according to side and location. Consensus molecular subtype (CMS) was compared in a separate cohort of 608 patients.Results: Mutation prevalence differed by side and location for TP53, KRAS, BRAFV600, PIK3CA, SMAD4, CTNNB1, GNAS, and PTEN. Within left- and right-sided tumors, there remained substantial variations in mutation rates. For example, within right-sided tumors, RAS mutations decreased from 70% for cecal, to 43% for hepatic flexure location (P = 0.0001), while BRAFV600 mutations increased from 10% to 22% between the same locations (P < 0.0001). Within left-sided tumors, the sigmoid and rectal region had more TP53 mutations (P = 0.027), less PIK3CA (P = 0.0009), BRAF (P = 0.0033), or CTNNB1 mutations (P < 0.0001), and less MSI (P < 0.0001) than other left-sided locations. Despite this, a left/right division preceding the transverse colon maximized prognostic differences by side and transverse colon tumors had K-modes mutation clustering that appeared more left than right sided. CMS profiles showed a decline in CMS1 and CMS3 and rise in CMS2 prevalence moving distally.Conclusions: Current right/left classifications may not fully recapitulate regional variations in tumor biology. Specifically, the sigmoid-rectal region appears unique and the transverse colon is distinct from other right-sided locations. Clin Cancer Res; 24(5); 1062–72. ©2017 AACR.See related commentary by Dienstmann, p. 989
